I thought I’d quote at length a particularly smart economist, working for a major mutual fund company, who recently wrote passionately about the market behavior of May, 2019. Her conclusion summarizes our opinion nicely, I think:
“Markets continue to be nervous and are suggesting a high level of fear…Having said that, investors with diversified portfolios and longer-term time horizons should not be panicked by the current situation."
“At this juncture, I still believe a recession is unlikely, given the ability of the Federal Reserve to respond to the current situation – as well as China’s commitment to continue to stimulate its economy fiscally and monetarily. I expect stocks will be volatile but will still outperform in this low-rate, benign inflation environment. In this environment, sell-offs can represent attractive buying opportunities for disciplined investors." - Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist at Invesco. (1)